This is maybe old and you've seen it but the CIA seems to be more on the ball re. Iraq than the "The Ole Bull and Bush Club"
"Iraq watcher Toby Dodge of Queen Mary College at the University of London -- who correctly predicted that the interim government would not make things better -- said: "The CIA has called it correctly. It has been less swayed than the politically driven Pentagon.
"To stand up a police force in the middle of an insurgency and expect it to work was optimism to the point of recklessness.
"With Iraqi forces too weak and US forces too resented there is a continuing security vacuum.
"The policy has been naive and simplistic from the start and the elections will not solve it.
"This is a decade long thing at least, if the Americans even stay the course."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/4075359.stm