I come not to praise the cartel but to bury them.
Starting my temporary tenure early.
Of Cycles and Elliott Waves:
If you go to Dr. Au's Pubic Fart Lisp you will find at the top 6 charts which I have recently submitted to the good doctor. They are my weak attempts at Elliott Wave ANALysis. My first attempt was POG and now my recent botchulism of the Hooey. The other 4 I've yet to do: POS, Zow, NEM, and USERX.
Hooeyism: Seemed easier to do then the POG. Except for one 1/4 overlap of a minor 12345 I think I have a pretty clear 5 wave count to the end '04 high. This may also have been the high for the eight year cycle. If the last year and a half are anything to go by then the down part of the 8 year cycle looks to be a long drawn out flat affair. And since the '03 high the analysis has become more subjective. I see 3 possibilities and regardless of the fear of sounding like Ike I will list them.
1. 8 Year Cycle Active - We are in 3 of 1 down and Prechter is MY Daddy.
(Not Annotated)
Don't really like this one. It would have us completing 2 up in Nov '04 and put us in the big 3 slide which would take out the 163 low big time. The problem to me is that if we did a minor 123 down to the May low then the minor 4 up (just completed/still active?) should not have overlapped the minor wave 1 Feb '05 low at about 195.
2. 8 Year Cycle Active - We are in C of 2 (12345up) - Extended Flat
(Not Annotated)
This one is better. Coming off the Nov '04 high we have embarked on an extended flat of ABCs. Main corrective wave A completed at May '04 low and main corrective wave B completed at Nov '04 high. If the '03 high was just wave 1 of a Super Cycle (circa 20 year) then a forthcoming wave C (lower than 163) would signal the completion of Super Wave 2 (likely) and the start of the Super Wave 3 which would be jolly profitabull. Again, I don't like the way the minor cycles are playing out and figure we should have made a lower low when we had the chance in May '05 to complete C of 2 but didn't.
3. 8 Year Cycle is Bogart - We are in 3 of 3 Up - Sinclair is My Daddy.
(Annotated)
As per chart, we completed super cycle wave 1 in Nov '03 then Super Cycle Wave 2 completed in May '04 with a 38.2% Fib retracement and a retest a year later giving us our 12 punch in the process. We have now begun our long heralded 3 of 3 and still nobody believes it.
Anyway I like Option 3 - a 3 of 3 and we Go to Da Moon Alice but that's just me. Would love to hear from all you Idiot Wavers and other assorted GoldKooks your opinions on all of this. Next I will start on the other charts.
In a couple of hours I'm off to Singers (Singapore) to get a Visa and try to buy an Elliott book or 2 and totally give myself over to the dark side of TA.
TA



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