Rather confusing bearish screed from "Rich Dad, Poor Dad" Robert Kiyosaki.
He writes that debt could lead to a recession or global depression. Yet he has just published a new book (supposedly co-written with Donald Trump LOL) called "Why We Want You to Be Rich."
Guess he's playing both sides against the middle.
"The world is currently in the grip of a major lending spree. But this time the target is companies, not countries or homeowners looking to refinance their credit card debt. And much of the lending is not through public share or bond markets or traditional banks. Today, private lenders such as hedge funds are lending trillions of dollars to businesses at very attractive rates."
"So what do these private firms silently lending billions of dollars mean to people like you and me? It can mean good things and bad things. One benefit is that all this hot money floating around all over the world gives people a sense of prosperity."
"What's bad is that if the bubble of debt bursts, which many insiders believe it will, the result could be a global recession and possibly even a depression. As you know, if the global economy contracts jobs will be lost, people will spend less, and asset prices may drop."
That said, this excessive debt has kept the world economy pretty stable through some challenging times, including Y2K, 9/11, high oil prices, wars, Hurricane Katrina, and so on. And this lending spree has increased asset prices in real estate, commodities, and the stock market. In fact, I've personally benefited from all this debt and funny money."
"Most of us know that a real estate flipper is someone who buys a house, may or may not fix it up, and then puts back on the market at a higher price. Well, in this environment of easy money to businesses, many private lenders are buying up public companies' stock in order to take them private. This has pushed the prices on the stock market to new highs. This is happening worldwide."
"Maybe I'm too old or not hip enough, but when I look at these businesses and the prices they're commanding, I really don't know how it all makes sense. The problem I see is that the businesses aren't being acquired with money or equity -- they're being acquired with debt. And as far as I know, somebody will have to pay that money back someday."
"So what do I recommend? For now, enjoy the party, don't drink too much, and stay close to the exits."
http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/article/richricher/11429