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Stool Pigeons Wire Message Board > Stock Market Message Board > Intraday Stool- Stock Market Short Term Trading
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aussiebear
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http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices


aussiebear
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Nothing like a brutal plunge to start the day. All Ords -1.1% with Energy -2.1%having the dubious honour of leading the way down. Not a green sector in sight but Utilities is down the least, -0.1%.

Miners tending to red: BHP +0.3%, RIO -1.4% and in the golds, Lihir flat, Newmont -1.2% and Newcrest -2%.

Oils heading south: Woodside -1.5% and Santos -2.3%.


aussiebear
Reposted smile.gif

QUOTE(Bob_Boberson @ May 15 2007, 11:27 PM)
Do we live in an age of lowered expectations?

May 2007

Next stop: Dow 21,000

Yes, big-cap fever could spread and carry the Dow skyward. Here are my top picks to carry the big index to the 21,000 mark over the next four years.

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Inves...opDow21000.aspx

May 1999

Dow 36,000?
Aired 5/28/1999

The rise in the stock market is becoming topic number one at the office water cooler. When will it hit 30,000 or will it come tumbling down?
  Read the full transcript


  James Glassman
    fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, syndicated columnist for the Washington Post
  Kevin Hassett
    scholar at the American Enterprise Institute
  Robert Shiller
    Yale University

http://www.pbs.org/thinktank/show_722.html
*


aussiebear
Australian Consumer Confidence Jumps to Record in May

May 16 (Bloomberg) -- Australian consumer confidence surged to a record in May, after the government cut income taxes and the jobless rate fell to a 32-year low.

The sentiment index jumped 7.5 percent from April to a seasonally adjusted 123.9, according to a poll of 1,200 people by Westpac Banking Corp. and the Melbourne Institute. The reading is the highest since the survey began in 1975. A number above 100 shows optimists outnumber pessimists.


aussiebear
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Not sure how accurate that data on the am post was as the sector %s are way out on the live feed, so I'm using an alternative site for this post. All Ords clawed back into the green to finish +0.1%. A number of sectors popped into the green with IT up the most, +1.5% followed by Utilities +0.8%. At the red end, Consumer Discretionary and Telecomms closed -0.7%.

In the miners, BHP did ok, +1% although RIO slid, -1.2% and the golds were also down.

Oils remained gloomy: Woodside +1.6% and Santos -2.3%.

Mostly up in Asia...

Over to UK/Europe:

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http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=europe


Mothership
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/751c0f76-0312-11dc...0b5df10621.html

Anthony Bolton, Britain’s most feted fund manager, has fired a message of doom and gloom as his parting shot to the industry as his sparkling career spanning more than quarter of a century draws to a close.
“We’ve got a bull market that is four years old now,” he said. “I find it difficult to find cheap shares. The low risk and high risk [shares] have gone up together. That spells danger. You are seeing mergers and acquisitions tittle tattle that makes me concerned.”


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I_Am_Madness
Still holding my JUNE 42.5 puts from 2.6. Last trade at 3.7.
Stop if it close above the 5 dma.
I_Am_Madness
On one of the biggest intraday reversals on the s&pee in over 2 months, M2M only had 3 pages of post? Wow! blink.gif
DrStool
I think people are burnt out.
mmoy
QUOTE(I_Am_Madness @ May 16 2007, 09:06 AM)
On one of the biggest intraday reversals on the s&pee in over 2 months, M2M only had 3 pages of post? Wow!  blink.gif
*



Well, Mark hasn't been posting and that slows things down.

My favorite trader went to 10% long (which is essentially cash) yesterday. So he was big-time spooked by the action yesterday. I may bail on longs today too. We'll see how the open goes.
DrStool
Good Morning!

Welcome to Intraday Stool! Thanks to aussiebear for her daily opening!

You can join the discussion by registering (PG rated user names only, please) and posting here as well.

Registration is easy. Just click the Register link above, enter your email address (which you have the option to keep confidential), and enter a user name. To keep out spammers and scammers, I'll send you an email with a few Monty Python type questions. Just reply with your answers, and I'll approve your registration as soon as I receive your reply.

If you have questions about how to register and post, use the Help link in the menu bar at the top of the page.

If you know others who might be interested in joining us, use the email to a friend link above the thread.

Many tanks for joining us!

Doc


Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don't find the information helpful, I'll give you a full refund. It's that simple!Click here for more information.

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potatohead
QUOTE(I_Am_Madness @ May 16 2007, 07:06 AM)
On one of the biggest intraday reversals on the s&pee in over 2 months, M2M only had 3 pages of post? Wow!  blink.gif
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I think everyone is burned out

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potatohead
which way today??

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Peek Paper
QUOTE(DrStool @ May 16 2007, 08:19 AM)
I think people are burnt out.
*


Yes, but the bear bus may be leaving the station ...
DrStool
Way too early to look for a big down. Reasoning explained in the WSE Pro last night. Get a risk free trial and get in right now. Click the link below!
Peek Paper
The Dow is the laggard at the open ... and the Dog is running ...

"Maybe our friends in Wall Street have come up with something NEW ... "
mmoy
Flushed longs except for ONT. Actually had a fair amount of green in my positions this morning. Holding onto my AMD short for now. There's been a
little more volatility this week than my usual liking. I'm glad I stayed out of the miners this week.
mmoy
Energy is looking quite perky this morning.

Looks like I bailed on my longs a little early. Oh well, I'll be on the road today and unable to watch for a few hours. Look at that green pouring in!
potatohead
DJ Fed Accepts $4 Bln In Overnight RPs

Type of transaction: Overnight RPs
Total accepted: $4 Bln
Total submitted: $50.6 Bln

Agency Collateral Operation
Total accepted: $3.501 Bln
Total submitted: $22.85 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: 5.24%
Weighted Average: 5.24%
High-rate submitted: 5.25%
Low-rate submitted: 5.17%

Treasury Collateral Operation
Total accepted: $499 Mln
Total submitted: $20.5 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: 5.13%
Weighted Average: 5.13%
High-rate submitted: 5.14%
Low-rate submitted: 5.07%

Mortgage-Backed Collateral Operations
Total accepted: None
Total submitted: $7.25 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: N/A
Weighted Average: N/A
High-rate submitted: 5.25%
Low-rate submitted: 5.23%
Peek Paper
Looking at GS carefully ... despite a marginal new closing high yesterday, it hasn't topped its intraday high of 5/7 yet.

With the DOW making new world lifetime universe since-the-dawn-of-time highs daily, Goldie is singing a slightly different tune, IMO.

And on the subject of gold ... sad.gif
cwd
Chicago Tribune article I am unable to link.
Eddie Lampert got Confidential Treatment from the SEC to allow his fund to build C position blink.gif WTF, How does a Billionaire get CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT? ph34r.gif
Peek Paper
Maybe it's a little early yet, but if this pop fails, it'll be two massive opening squeezes during an opex week that have failed ...

am i missing something ? smile.gif
cwd
NBS, the BOTTOM is in in Homebuilding blink.gif

ECONOMIC REPORT
Building permits drop to a 10-year low
Housing starts gain 2.5% in April to 1.53 million annual rate
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last Update: 9:56 ET May 16, 2007


WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. builders pulled back on filing for permits to build homes in April, but started construction on more houses than they did in March, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.
In mixed data on the housing market, the government said building permits fell 8.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.429 million, the lowest since June 1997.
It was the largest percentage decline in 17 years. And it was much lower than the 1.51 million pace expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. See Economic Calendar.
Meanwhile, the number of new houses started increased by 2.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.528 million, higher than the 1.48 million pace expected. Read the full government report

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/buil...e&dist=printTop
mmoy
QUOTE(Peek Paper @ May 16 2007, 09:58 AM)
Maybe it's a little early yet, but if this pop fails, it'll be two massive opening squeezes during an opex week that have failed ...

am i missing something ? smile.gif
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It's scam week. Look for the jam between 11:00 and 12:00. If it isn't there, then it's probably safe to short. Here we all are talking about how much weakness there is and the indices are up!

Though many of the tech stocks that I watch are not really looking strong.

I do expect some kind of decent bounce in the miners this week. Except for TRE of course.

It's funny that last time this year, there was panic in the streets.

I know; I bailed though maybe a week earlier. It was panic and mayhem in the miners and energy stocks.
mmoy
QUOTE(cwd @ May 16 2007, 10:10 AM)
NBS, the BOTTOM is in in Homebuilding blink.gif

ECONOMIC REPORT
Building permits drop to a 10-year low
Housing starts gain 2.5% in April to 1.53 million annual rate
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last Update: 9:56 ET May 16, 2007


WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. builders pulled back on filing for permits to build homes in April, but started construction on more houses than they did in March, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday.
In mixed data on the housing market, the government said building permits fell 8.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.429 million, the lowest since June 1997.
It was the largest percentage decline in 17 years. And it was much lower than the 1.51 million pace expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. See Economic Calendar.
Meanwhile, the number of new houses started increased by 2.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.528 million, higher than the 1.48 million pace expected. Read the full government report

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/buil...e&dist=printTop
*



We need housing permits dropping to zero. Then we can definitely say that the bottom is in.
dogsie
Housing permits can go negative can' they? As in "we gave you a permit to start building last year and nothing has commenced so we are going to take it away"
cwd
XHB homies now RED. Looks like PP is on target, another opening squeeze. dry.gif
I_Am_Madness
Still holding short S&PEE short.
Looking to add if we get above 1515 on ES.
I_Am_Madness
Trading range.
Jetlag
Gold loves 666

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I_Am_Madness
OPPSS!
I_Am_Madness
NEM breaks 40...
OHHHH FAAAAA..
potatohead
QUOTE(I_Am_Madness @ May 16 2007, 09:01 AM)
NEM breaks 40...
OHHHH FAAAAA..
*




Is that ET's language for ohhhhh faukkkkk
laugh.gif
cwd
Info babe on CNBS in the RED, down from ATH blink.gif but every thing is OK cause Gold is down tongue.gif
potatohead
From McHugh email service.....

Subject:
was McHugh has been bullish 87% of the Time the Past Year

body:
Dear Friends,

Did you know that McHugh's indicator has been Bullish 87 percent of the time, the past year? That's right, McHugh's key trend-finder indicator has been on a "buy" signal 217 out of the past 251 trading days, catching all of the rally since May 2006. The only times McHugh was Bearish was the last half of the month of May 2006, and a few days at the end of February 2007, when significant stock market corrections occurred. However, his Purchasing Power Indicator immediately turned Bullish again at the bottom of those declines.

Why miss out on success? Give yourself the trading and investing advantage.

Jetlag
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=new...id=asxDKo4T6UL0
They're buddies now:
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LeeWhee
Looks like "no worries" for the yen carry. Since the late Feb explosion, the yen has been walked down relentlessly. Now back to where it was in late Feb again. Hard to believe a "one-way" trade like this can keep working day after day, month after month, year after year. But for now, carry on boyz.
mmoy
Went to take a shower and el-tankerola when I get back.

SPG continues to head south. Not a good sign for the retailers.

Time to hit the road.
potatohead
What a deal.......


DJ Fannie Mae $1 Bln Reopened 10-Yr Notes Price At 5.071% Yield


NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Fannie Mae (FNM) priced $1.0 billion of reopened
10-year notes Wednesday, according to the government-sponsored enterprise.
Terms were as follows:

Amount: $1.0 billion
Maturity: May 11, 2017
Coupon: 5.0%
Issue Price: 99.448
Yield: 5.071%
Spread: N/A
Settlement: May 18, 2005

I_Am_Madness
TTEK
Looks like a dong.
I_Am_Madness
Looks like a bottom on PWI.
Currently yields a handsome 13% dividend a year.
Bungster
I get these emails from Zacks:


Today's Topics: Wednesday - May 16, 2007

1) ZACKS RANK BUY STOCKS - Today we highlight four new stocks with a short-term "Buy" or "Strong Buy" recommendation: Mobile Mini (MINI), Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS), Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (RIO) and Merrill Lynch (MER). Get these stories below.



Either these are total scams or by the time they put these picks in they are topping.. dry.gif

[attachmentid=83405]

[attachmentid=83406]
Charmin
SRS three days up off 76 support

short housing
Jetlag
Good to know there's a bear market somewhere !

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Sudaca
Peru down 5 days in a row.

First time in history, seems like.

Tick tock tick tock.

Mutual fund inflows slowing down to a trickle.

A couple more days like this and we'll se redemptions..

With no one to buy.

Oh my.
DrStool
QUOTE(potatohead @ May 16 2007, 11:12 AM)
From McHugh email service.....

Subject:
McHugh has been bullish 87% of the Time the Past Year

body:
Dear Friends,

    Did you know that McHugh's indicator has been Bullish 87 percent of the time, the past year?
*




Coulda fooled me.
Jetlag
"You have to smack it down before cutting rates Ben"
Sudaca
NYSE A/D still negative
Sudaca
NYA goes red
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