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Stool Pigeons Wire Message Board > Stock Market Message Board > Intraday Stool- Stock Market Short Term Trading
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aussiebear
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http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices


aussiebear
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Post-Easter euphoria in progress. All Ords +3.2% with most sectors extreme green. IT is way out in front, +6.2% and Financials is next, +5.1%. Energy has the least gain, +1.1%.

The big miners are doing ok, albeit off their highs: BHP +2.1% and RIO +1.8%. Golds are red: Newcrest -2.6%, Newmont -3.1% and Lihir -2.2%. Juniors mixed.

Oils looking a bit insecure: Woodside -0.3%, Santos +0.5%. Caltex is doing better, +3.1%.


aussiebear
Any of you computer buffs out there can help me with a problem?

When I open an "add reply" window on the forum my cursor flickers and if I move to another window to check data and move back to "add reply" I find the cursor has disappeared entirely and I have to left click to retrieve it. Originally it was an intermittent problem but now it's constant and extremely annoying. dry.gif


Jetlag
QUOTE(aussiebear @ Mar 24 2008, 08:00 PM)
Any of you computer buffs out there can help me with a problem? 

When I open an "add reply" window on the forum my cursor flickers and if I move to another window to check data and move back to "add reply" I find the cursor has disappeared entirely and I have to left click to retrieve it.  Originally it was an intermittent problem but now it's constant and extremely annoying. dry.gif
*



Virus?
Graphics board drivers?
M$ software?
aussiebear
Nothing's coming up on the daily virus scan.
Could be anything.. rolleyes.gif


aussiebear
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Up today and it stayed that way. All Ords closed +3.3%, IT just kept on going, +7.2% and Financials hung on to second place, +5.9%. Energy remained in the rear, +0.8%.

The big miners drifted down from their highs: BHP +1.6% and RIO +1.1% respectively. Golds stagnated: Newcrest -1.6%, Newmont -4.4% and Lihir flat. Juniors remained mixed.

Nothing much happening on the oil front, Woodside -1.8%, Santos +0.5% and Caltex +1.4%.

Some hefty gains in Asia: Honkers +4.5%, India +4% and Nikkers +2%. China is only scraping up +0.2% at this stage and Taiwan is the only red, -0.8%.


Over to UK/Europe:

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http://finance.yahoo.com/intlindices?e=europe


aussiebear
China Resumes Individual LNG Cargo Imports After 5-Month Halt

March 25 (Bloomberg) -- China, the world's second-largest energy user, resumed buying individual liquefied natural gas cargoes after a five-month halt as prices of the fuel decline, a Chinese official said.

Guangdong Dapeng LNG Co., the nation's only importer of the fuel, bought a Nigerian cargo for April delivery and another one from Egypt for May, said the official who asked not to be identified because the agreements are confidential.

China, which imports LNG under a 25-year contract with Australia, is seeking individual cargo imports after halting such purchases since November when prices climbed during winter, an official said Feb. 21. Guangzhou, the capital of Guangdong province, had a power shortage of 1,000 megawatts after fuel supply was disrupted by the heaviest snowstorms in five decades, the state-run Xinhua News Agency said Feb. 18.




Drano
QUOTE(aussiebear @ Mar 24 2008, 08:00 PM)
Any of you computer buffs out there can help me with a problem? 

When I open an "add reply" window on the forum my cursor flickers and if I move to another window to check data and move back to "add reply" I find the cursor has disappeared entirely and I have to left click to retrieve it.  Originally it was an intermittent problem but now it's constant and extremely annoying. dry.gif
*


Maybe whoever shares the computer with you has changed the settings.


aussiebear
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Just can't trust 'em can you... smile.gif


Ageka
I had the same problem
It was my wireless router trying to grab the hardwired laptop
Maybe some program is trying to get attention but if it is a legitimate program it may be hard to find out which
aussiebear
Thanks Ageka, seems to be only on this forum I'm having the problem. Have resorted to using Notepad and copying the text into the forum window. I suspect it might be something to do with the hyperlink and IMG buttons on the 'add reply' window. I use them quite a bit and maybe they're stored somewhere and the file's full? Have emptied the temp files folder but it hasn't helped.


Jetlag
They've been selling VIX at 35 as if it was the modern day panacea. None of the other crisis from 1997 onward were resolved before closing above this level.

[attachmentid=96975]

There's no panic out there. It looks like a setup for an epic breakout in the VIXen.
Jetlag
QUOTE(aussiebear @ Mar 25 2008, 05:22 AM)
Thanks Ageka, seems to be only on this forum I'm having the problem.  Have resorted to using Notepad and copying the text into the forum window.  I suspect it might be something to do with the hyperlink and IMG buttons on the 'add reply' window.  I use them quite a bit and maybe they're stored somewhere and the file's full?  Have emptied the temp files folder but it hasn't helped.
*



Try using Firefox instead of M$ Internet Explorer
Jetlag
A preview of things to come to Uncle Bucky?

"Iceland's central bank unexpectedly raised its benchmark interest rate to 15 percent at an unscheduled meeting after a slump in the krona threatened to fuel inflation that is already running at more than twice the bank's target.

The repo rate was raised from 13.75 percent, the Reykjavik- based central bank said on its Web site today. The bank hadn't planned to hold a rate meeting until April 10. "

"Iceland's gross external debt stood at five times the size of the economy last year, with more than 80 percent of that stemming from the country's biggest lenders.

Today's announcement ``somewhat takes the steam out of our expectations for rate decreases later in 2008,'' Jensen said" laugh.gif laugh.gif


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...Ybfw&refer=home

Fifteener percenter...
DrStool
QUOTE(ChicagoBear @ Mar 24 2008, 11:37 PM)
Hi Doc,

I’m reading the Fed report and have a few questions to throw down:
(all opinions welcome)

Really, just how bad are the Treasury’s finances?  Is it spiraling out-of-control?  What will happen when interest rates go up?  Where do you see this going?  When do we start getting worried?

Is that $781b in the ABCP market toast?  Is this literally a huge ticking time bomb, or is it possible that this market becomes liquid again?

Is it correct that the Fed Liquid Asset chart does not contain the $28.8b PDCF?  Would it be useful to make 2 charts – add a weekly chart showing the PDCF?  It might add perspective?

I'll catch up in the morning. 
Buenos Nachos!
*



The Treasury can continue the game until market confidence is broken, which could be at any time. I don't know what would happen at that point. In many ways we are just like Argentina, but in other obvious ways we are not. As Russ calls it, we run the Godfather Protection racket. So maybe the endgame is bailouts by our FCB creditors. In that case there will be a lot of pain, but I suppose the US will still be around in 50 years, only a lot poorer and with a lot less power.

As for the ABCP market, I don't know the answer. I know that a whole hell of a lot of it is toast. At times I have guessed one third. Just a pure wild guess. Maybe it's more. No one understands that market.

The chart includes the PDCF. See Thursday's 2 reports. One before the PDCF, and the other after. The shocking amount of the PDCF outstanding forced me to change the way I present the reports. I have asked the Fed to start reporting the PDCF information daily as they do the OMO. Kind of a joke I guess, that I even bothered, but I did speak to someone and write to that person asking that the request, and the reason for it be passed along.

QUOTE
The Fed's daily publication of open market operations has been rendered less than useful by the lagged reporting of the PDCF. It is no longer possible to know the full impact of the Fed's daily interactions with the Primary Dealers virtually in real time as it had been prior to this point. This seems to run counter to Chairman Bernanke's initiatives to make the Fed's actions more transparent, and to communicate its policies and actions more effectively to the marketplace.

Why isn't the Fed publishing the results of the PDCF nightly auctions in a similar format to the OMO so that other market participants can see the full impact of all the operations conducted between the Fed and PDs as it has done in the past when OMO were the sole means of injecting or withdrawing reserves daily? Is such reporting under consideration?

...my real hope here is that this question find its way to the decision makers so that the books could be opened on this data on a daily basis as they are with OMO.


DrStool
Good Morning!

Welcome to Intraday Stool! Thanks to aussiebear for her daily opening!

You can join the discussion by registering (PG rated user names only, please) and posting here as well.

Registration is easy. Just click the Register link above, enter your email address (which you have the option to keep confidential), and enter a user name. To keep out spammers and scammers, I'll send you an email with a few Monty Python type questions. Just reply with your answers, and I'll approve your registration as soon as I receive your reply.

Unfortunately, due to the barrage of spammers using Gmail and certain European email providers, including yahoo.co.uk, we cannot process any registrations associated with a gmail address. In that case please use the email address from your isp, or some other provider.

If you have questions about how to register and post, use the Help link in the menu bar at the top of the page.

If you know others who might be interested in joining us, use the email to a friend link above the thread.

Many tanks for joining us!

Doc


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Jetlag
QUOTE(DrStool @ Mar 25 2008, 06:41 AM)
The Fed's daily publication of open market operations has been rendered less than useful by the lagged reporting of the PDCF. It is no longer possible to know the full impact of the Fed's daily interactions with the Primary Dealers virtually in real time as it had been prior to this point. This seems to run counter to Chairman Bernanke's initiatives to make the Fed's actions more transparent, and to communicate its policies and actions more effectively to the marketplace.

Why isn't the Fed publishing the results of the PDCF nightly auctions in a similar format to the OMO so that other market participants can see the full impact of all the operations conducted between the Fed and PDs as it has done in the past when OMO were the sole means of injecting or withdrawing reserves daily? Is such reporting under consideration?

...my real hope here is that this question find its way to the decision makers so that the books could be opened on this data on a daily basis as they are with OMO.
*



"Dear Sir,

Our intent is to manipulate the market with the help of our 21 associates. Your suggestion is counter productive to that end.

Thanks and best regards,
Your friend at the Fed.

p.s. Long live the PPT"
BusKow
Speaking of the PPT...


Winding up Bear: Paulson's gift to his bankster buddies
By Mike Whitney
Online Journal Contributing Writer

Online Journal
Jetlag
"Financial conditions are stable, the markets are working in an orderly fashion again"

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"The euro interbank offered rate, or Euribor, for three- month cash increased 3 basis points to 4.70 percent, the highest level since Dec. 27 and its 14th straight gain, the European Banking Federation said today. The one-week rate rose 4 basis points to 4.32 percent, also the highest since Dec. 27."

"``Everyone is just waiting for the next bank to go down. There is no trust in the market. They're very afraid.''

"The euro rate rose even after the European Central Bank provided an extra 14 billion euros ($21.8 billion) of emergency cash to banks today."

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...p3SY&refer=home
FauxCaster
From Crapvision: Art Cashun 80-90% chance the interim low is in. The financial crisis bottom is in. We could have a recession bottom later. A long way till the end of the year. Ratio of hedgefund shorting is the highest they've ever seen -- prior to this rally. He thinks the shorts maybe off now.
bearmarketymark
QUOTE(FauxCaster @ Mar 25 2008, 07:51 AM)
From Crapvision: Art Cashun 80-90% chance the interim low is in. The financial crisis bottom is in. We could have a recession bottom later. A long way till the end of the year. Ratio of hedgefund shorting is the highest they've ever seen -- prior to this rally. He thinks the shorts maybe off now.
*




Art also said it is the "weakest group of shorts" he has seen in 45 years.
Mies van der Rump
QUOTE(bearmarketymark @ Mar 25 2008, 07:00 AM)
Art also said it is the "weakest group of shorts" he has seen in 45 years.
*



They better hope the shorts aren't off now.
crooked_analyst
Just saw where the DOW futures were off 3 points....shouldn't we get an ewmergency rate cut to fix that? mad.gif
potatohead
*DJ Bear Stearns Announces The Start Of Trading Of The First Actively Managed Exchange Traded Fund


(MORE TO FOLLOW) Dow Jones Newswires


WHO'S FIRST !!!!!!!!
DrStool
I like Art.
Drano
QUOTE(DrStool @ Mar 25 2008, 08:17 AM)
I like Art.
*


Does life imitate Art?
DrStool
qqqq breaks 3 day cycle MA at 44.68. 5 day is rising at 44.30. 3 and 5 day cycle indicators on sell side.
DrStool
dow and spx sitting on 3 day cycle MAs 12523.50 and 1347. 3 and 5 day cycle indicators on the cusp.
potatohead

DJ Fed Accepts $2 Bln In Overnight RPs

Type of transaction: Overnight RPs
Total accepted: $2 Bln
Total submitted: $27.85 Bln

Agency Collateral Operation
Total accepted: $1.05 Bln
Total submitted: $11.95 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: 2.3%
Weighted Average: 2.31%
High-rate submitted: 2.34%
Low-rate submitted: 2%

Treasury Collateral Operation
Total accepted: $950 Mln
Total submitted: $8.35 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: 1%
Weighted Average: 1.08%
High-rate submitted: 1.1%
Low-rate submitted: 0.5%

Mortgage-Backed Collateral Operations
Total accepted: None
Total submitted: $7.55 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: N/A
Weighted Average: N/A
High-rate submitted: 2.37%
Low-rate submitted: 2.2%

(Data was provided by the New York Federal Reserve Bank).
potatohead

*DJ Fed Sets 28-Day RPs

DrStool
QUOTE(DrStool @ Mar 25 2008, 09:36 AM)
dow and spx sitting on 3 day cycle MAs 12523.50 and 1347. 3 and 5 day cycle indicators on the cusp.
*



bouncing from 3 day cycle MAs. qqqq back above its 3 day cycle MA now 44.68.
shorty
GG poppin' 39.46 +2.15
cwd
QUOTE(DrStool @ Mar 25 2008, 06:41 AM)
The Treasury can continue the game until market confidence is broken, which could be at any time. I don't know what would happen at that point. In many ways we are just like Argentina, but in other obvious ways we are not. As Russ calls it, we run the Godfather Protection racket. So maybe the endgame is bailouts by our FCB creditors. In that case there will be a lot of pain, but I suppose the US will still be around in 50 years, only a lot poorer and with a lot less power.

As for the ABCP market, I don't know the answer. I know that a whole hell of a lot of it is toast. At times I have guessed one third. Just a pure wild guess. Maybe it's more. No one understands that market.

The chart includes the PDCF. See Thursday's 2 reports. One before the PDCF, and the other after. The shocking amount of the PDCF outstanding forced me to change the way I present the reports. I have asked the Fed to start reporting the PDCF information daily as they do the OMO. Kind of a joke I guess, that I even bothered, but I did speak to someone and write to that person asking that the request, and the reason for it be passed along.
*




Does the FED respond to FOI requests? unsure.gif
potatohead

DJ Fed Accepts $15 Bln In 28-Day RPs

Type of transaction: 28-Day RPs
Total accepted: $15 Bln
Total submitted: $77.8 Bln

Mortgage-Backed Collateral Operations
Total accepted: $15 Bln
Total submitted: $77.8 Bln
Stop-Out Rate: 2.38%
Weighted Average: 2.4%
High-rate submitted: 2.44%
Low-rate submitted: 2%

(Data was provided by the New York Federal Reserve Bank).
DrStool
no doubt now. 5 day cycle indicators breaking down on all indexes.

qqqq hits 5 day cycle MA 44.33.
DrStool
Like I said, yesterday morning.
fxfox
ze konsumer not so konfident, eh? laugh.gif
potatohead
QUOTE(fxfox @ Mar 25 2008, 08:04 AM)
ze konsumer not so konfident, eh?  laugh.gif
*




let them eat cake!!!!!!!
DrStool
WSE Pro bellwethers update (Subscribers)

http://wallstreetexaminer.com/?p=2490
cwd
QUOTE(FauxCaster @ Mar 25 2008, 07:51 AM)
From Crapvision: Art Cashun 80-90% chance the interim low is in. The financial crisis bottom is in. We could have a recession bottom later. A long way till the end of the year. Ratio of hedgefund shorting is the highest they've ever seen -- prior to this rally. He thinks the shorts maybe off now.
*




12000 is the line in the sand. ohmy.gif
cwd
QUOTE(bearmarketymark @ Mar 25 2008, 08:00 AM)
Art also said it is the "weakest group of shorts" he has seen in 45 years.
*




I represent that remark, dry.gif
Jetlag
Queue in Kramer asking for a rate kut NOW!
DrStool
I'm going to try to keep this in mind whenever the market rallies for the next 10-15 years.

"It's a bear market."

laugh.gif
DrStool
OK, I am going to sift through the Gloomberg commentary and put up the interesting stuff.
Drano
QUOTE(bearmarketymark @ Mar 25 2008 @ 08:00 AM)
Art also said it is the "weakest group of shorts" he has seen in 45 years.





QUOTE(cwd @ Mar 25 2008, 09:07 AM)
I represent that remark, dry.gif
*


Jetlag
QUOTE(DrStool @ Mar 25 2008, 09:08 AM)
I'm going to try to keep this in mind whenever the market rallies for the next 10-15 years.

"It's a bear market."

laugh.gif
*



Doc, don't tell us you've been drinking from the weimar fountain of eternal inflation. ph34r.gif
DrStool
Love those Brit accents.

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DrStool
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DrStool
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